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Connor Merrill Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1999-05-11 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Langley Rivermen BCHL 11 1 1 2 0.182 0.0700 0.0681 0.2646 0.2575
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Amherst D3 NESCAC — 19 1 1 2 0.105
2021-22 Amherst D3 NESCAC — 20 4 6 10 0.500
2019-20 Amherst D1 NESCAC FR 22 4 3 7 0.318
2019-20 Amherst D3 NESCAC — 22 4 3 7 0.318
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.06
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.32
2019-20 · Amherst
+445.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
22%
Age-Out / Club
48%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#53915
Forward overall
#3259
Forward born in 1999

D1 Comparables

William Messa
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Northeastern
0.12 No data
NCAAe PPG
Matthew Hansen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.25 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ben Greiner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.17 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Average
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Spezia
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.26 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ben Ostlie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Notre Dame
0.13 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Austin Jackson
Wisconsin-Stout · 2014-15
0.222 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Brendan Sheehan
Hamline · 2017-18
0.191 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Matthew Roe
Worcester State · 2016-17
0.231 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.