IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Matthew Roe Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-05-10 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 Boston Jr. Rangers EHLP 42 8 10 18 0.429 0.0492 0.0495 0.0966 0.0973
2016-17 Rochester Monarchs USPHL-Elite 32 19 9 28 0.875 0.0808 0.0792 0.2004 0.1964
2017-18 Boston Jr. Rangers EHL 24 8 3 11 0.458 0.1059 0.1006 0.2242 0.2131
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2018-19 Worcester State D3 MASCAC — 13 0 3 3 0.231
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.08
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.23
2018-19 · Worcester State
+192.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#40968
Forward overall
#1987
Forward born in 1997

D1 Comparables

Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Mathieu Parent
SUNY Potsdam · 2021-22
0.273 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Justin Allen
Utica · 2017-18
0.448 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Phil Feinberg
Suffolk · 2023-24
0.191 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.