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Gavin Waltz Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-08-03 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Winkler Flyers MJHL 39 12 19 31 0.795 0.1530 0.1514 0.5009 0.4956
2022-23 Winkler Flyers MJHL 28 5 13 18 0.643 0.1238 0.1167 0.4052 0.3820
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Concordia D3 MIAC GR 23 0 3 3 0.130
2024-25 Concordia D3 MIAC SR 5 0 0 0 0.000
2023-24 Concordia D3 MIAC JR 9 0 1 1 0.111
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.11
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.11
2023-24 · Concordia
-0.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
20%
NCAA D2/D3
42%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#32342
Forward overall
#1927
Forward born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Kyle Greco
Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2008-09
0.440 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Andrew Ciampichini
Elmira · 2010-11
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Mason Ausmus
Concordia · 2021-22
0.348 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.