IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Chad Muller Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-07-13 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Chilliwack Chiefs BCHL 40 7 7 14 0.350 0.1349 0.1391 0.5094 0.5253
2022-23 Fort McMurray Oil Barons AJHL 46 14 20 34 0.739 0.2479 0.2433 0.6840 0.6713
2023-24 Minot Minotauros NAHL 53 14 17 31 0.585 0.2149 0.2054 0.6174 0.5901
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA SO 13 1 2 3 0.231
2024-25 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA — 12 4 1 5 0.417
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.19
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.42
2024-25 · Long Island Univ.
+120.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
18%
NCAA D2/D3
35%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#26241
Forward overall
#1472
Forward born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Hunter Fortin
Fitchburg State · 2018-19
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Sam Kuzyk
Adrian · 2006-07
0.621 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Adam Place
SUNY Potsdam · 2009-10
0.412 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.