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Chad Muller Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-07-13 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Chilliwack Chiefs BCHL 40 7 7 14 0.350 0.1304 0.1345 0.5100 0.5259
2022-23 Fort McMurray Oil Barons AJHL 46 14 20 34 0.739 0.2452 0.2407 0.6850 0.6723
2023-24 Minot Minotauros NAHL 53 14 17 31 0.585 0.2317 0.2215 0.6141 0.5870
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA SO 13 1 2 3 0.231
2024-25 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA 12 4 1 5 0.417
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.20
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.42
2024-25 · Long Island Univ.
+112.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

28%
NCAA D1
18%
NCAA D2/D3
48%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#26234
Forward overall
#1478
Forward born in 2003

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Strong
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

SUNY Potsdam · 2009-10
0.412 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Stevenson · 2021-22
0.538 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Middlebury · 2018-19
0.545 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.