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Carter McKay Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-03-04 Country: Canada
Aurora
NCHA D3

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Melville Millionaires SJHL 54 2 12 14 0.259 0.0664 0.0749 0.1953 0.2202
2022-23 Melville Millionaires SJHL 56 16 17 33 0.589 0.1510 0.1627 0.4437 0.4782
2023-24 Shreveport Mudbugs NAHL 48 7 10 17 0.354 0.1301 0.1350 0.3744 0.3886
2024-25 Shreveport Mudbugs NAHL 56 12 25 37 0.661 0.2427 0.2392 0.6983 0.6882
2025-26 — NAHL 29 11 11 22 0.759 0.2787 0.2609 0.8018 0.7507
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

28%
NCAA D1
18%
NCAA D2/D3
35%
Age-Out / Club
15%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#21140
Forward overall
#1131
Forward born in 2005

D1 Comparables

Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
David Goodwin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Penn State (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG

Aurora Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Adam Keyes
1.26
actual FR PPG at Aurora
Hassan Akl
0.93
actual FR PPG at Aurora
Tim Santopaolo
0.48
actual FR PPG at Aurora
Alex Sanchez
0.00
actual FR PPG at Aurora

D2/3 Comparables

Dominic Thomas
Hamline · 2024-25
0.421 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Patrick Cole
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2023-24
0.706 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Ben Kemp
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2001-02
0.536 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.