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Lucas Marshall Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-05-10 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Wenatchee Wild BCHL 44 4 6 10 0.227 0.0876 0.0897 0.3312 0.3390
2023-24 — BCHL 31 3 3 6 0.194 0.0746 0.0729 0.2819 0.2756
2024-25 New Jersey Jr. Titans NAHL 57 3 7 10 0.175 0.0623 0.0589 0.1842 0.1740
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Colby D3 NESCAC FR 10 0 1 1 0.100
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.06
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.10
2025-26 · Colby
+64.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
62%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#14178
Defenseman overall
#2812
Defenseman born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.11 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
William Eiserman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.15 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Bob Marx
Saint Mary's (MN) · 2010-11
0.318 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Daniel Dupell
Plymouth State · 2012-13
0.360 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Jamie Wright
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2003-04
0.316 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.