IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Aiden Lawson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2007-09-18 Country: USA
Alaska Fairbanks
Ind. D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 Maryland Black Bears NAHL 46 2 11 13 0.283 0.1038 0.1155 0.2987 0.3323
2025-26 Anchorage Wolverines NAHL 54 3 17 20 0.370 0.1361 0.1447 0.3915 0.4163
2026-27 Anchorage Wolverines NAHL 7 1 6 7 1.000 0.3674 0.3787 1.0569 1.0893
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
70%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#12695
Defenseman overall
#1716
Defenseman born in 2007
#4275
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Ryan Murray
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.74 PPG
→ Hamline (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Mike McKee
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Niklas Nevalainen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Nelson Armstrong
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Lowney
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

Alaska Fairbanks Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Garrett Pyke
OJHL 2018-19
0.20
actual FR PPG at Alaska Fairbanks
Tristan Thompson
AJHL 2015-16
0.19
actual FR PPG at Alaska Fairbanks
Jake Gresh
AJHL 2016-17
0.09
actual FR PPG at Alaska Fairbanks
A.J. Macaulay
AJHL 2021-22
0.27
actual FR PPG at Alaska Fairbanks

D2/3 Comparables

Taylor McCloy
Adrian · 2012-13
1.500 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Aidan Canady
Post · 2022-23
0.630 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Sam Ciappa
St. John Fisher · 2024-25
0.913 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.