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Ashton Breyer Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-05-26 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Westonka USHS-MN 23 3 1 4 0.174 0.0468 0.0468 0.0422 0.0422
2020-21 Westonka USHS-MN 18 3 6 9 0.500 0.1346 0.1346 0.1215 0.1215
2022-23 Okotoks Oilers AJHL 1 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2023-24 Notre Dame Hounds SJHL 43 2 10 12 0.279 0.0850 0.0843 0.2068 0.2051
2024-25 — NAHL 56 3 6 9 0.161 0.0637 0.0603 0.1687 0.1597
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Skidmore D3 SUNYAC FR 8 1 1 2 0.250
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.07
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.25
2025-26 · Skidmore
+278.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

20%
NCAA D1
12%
NCAA D2/D3
62%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#19218
Defenseman overall
#3414
Defenseman born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
William Eiserman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.15 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ben Campbell
Nichols · 2014-15
0.375 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Spencer Kring
Bethel · 2021-22
0.600 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Michael Spring
St. Scholastica · 2011-12
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.