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Colin Dustin Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2007-03-19 Country: USA
Niagara
AHA D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2025-26 Rochester Jr. Americans NAHL 53 20 20 40 0.755 0.2773 0.2879 0.7976 0.8281
2026-27 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 5 2 0 2 0.400 0.2360 0.2360 1.2003 1.2003
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

40%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
22%
Age-Out / Club
22%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#16074
Forward overall
#470
Forward born in 2007

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Denver (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.51 PPG
→ Cornell (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Average
NCAAe PPG

Niagara Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

NAHL 2012-13
0.44
actual FR PPG at Niagara
NAHL 2017-18
0.47
actual FR PPG at Niagara
NAHL 2025-26
0.00
actual FR PPG at Niagara
OJHL 2012-13
0.72
actual FR PPG at Niagara

D2/3 Comparables

Endicott · 2023-24
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
St. Thomas · 2018-19
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Salve Regina · 2018-19
1.259 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.