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Casey Severo Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-02-01 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Noble & Greenough NE-Prep 29 15 22 37 1.276 0.3599 0.3599 0.5839 0.5839
2019-20 Noble & Greenough NE-Prep 27 22 18 40 1.482 0.4179 0.4179 0.6779 0.6779
2020-21 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 43 5 16 21 0.488 0.3002 0.3002 1.4389 1.4389
2021-22 Madison Capitols USHL 48 16 27 43 0.896 0.5506 0.4900 2.6392 2.3485
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Harvard D1 ECAC SR 34 9 9 18 0.529
2024-25 Harvard D1 ECAC JR 33 16 12 28 0.849
2023-24 Harvard D1 ECAC SO 32 8 5 13 0.406
2022-23 Harvard D1 ECAC FR 27 2 6 8 0.296
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.39
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.30
2022-23 · Harvard
-24.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

57%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
40%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#7197
Forward overall
#290
Forward born in 2001

D1 Comparables

Trevor Mingoia
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Union (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.49 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Dylan Walchuk
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.86 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Average
NCAAe PPG
David Goodwin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Penn State (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Average
NCAAe PPG
Carlos Amestoy
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Maine
0.39 No data
NCAAe PPG
Shane Sooth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.52 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jason Yuel
Curry · 2006-07
1.769 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Jason Kalinowski
Endicott · 2015-16
1.310 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Woodward
SUNY Oswego · 2002-03
1.226 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.