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Michael Burchill Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-04-29 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 53 11 8 19 0.358 0.2115 0.2330 1.0767 1.1863
2022-23 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 61 13 25 38 0.623 0.3675 0.3858 1.8711 1.9643
2023-24 Youngstown Phantoms USHL 59 13 21 34 0.576 0.3400 0.3401 1.7309 1.7312
2024-25 Youngstown Phantoms USHL 60 11 7 18 0.300 0.1770 0.1680 0.9010 0.8552
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Northern Michigan D1 CCHA FR 31 5 3 8 0.258
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.20
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.26
2025-26 · Northern Michigan
+27.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D1
22%
NCAA D2/D3
25%
Age-Out / Club
28%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#17659
Forward overall
#936
Forward born in 2005
#1721
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Matthew Hansen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.25 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tommy Schutt
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG
William Messa
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Northeastern
0.12 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ben Ostlie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Notre Dame
0.13 No data
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Spezia
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.26 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Shane Baker
Skidmore · 2023-24
0.704 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Mike Fiume
Neumann · 2002-03
1.040 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ross Enmark
Curry · 2004-05
1.308 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.