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Caelan Fitzpatrick Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-06-17 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Battlefords North Stars SJHL 1 0 1 1 1.000 0.2562 0.2562 0.7538 0.7538
2020-21 Estevan Bruins SJHL 2 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Estevan Bruins SJHL 57 28 20 48 0.842 0.2157 0.2248 0.6348 0.6614
2022-23 Brooks Bandits AJHL 53 25 26 51 0.962 0.3228 0.3157 0.8905 0.8708
2023-24 Brooks Bandits AJHL 35 18 14 32 0.914 0.3067 0.2855 0.8461 0.7875
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast SO 38 13 16 29 0.763
2024-25 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast — 35 6 9 15 0.429
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.25
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.43
2024-25 · Merrimack
+68.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D1
18%
NCAA D2/D3
28%
Age-Out / Club
22%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#13004
Forward overall
#610
Forward born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
T.J. Sarcona
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.06 PPG
→ Niagara (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jarrett Cammarata
Bethel · 2018-19
0.680 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Davis Ross
Marian · 2015-16
0.786 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Dallas Marvin
Bethel · 2014-15
0.640 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.