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Caelan Fitzpatrick Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-06-17 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Battlefords North Stars SJHL 1 0 1 1 1.000 0.3046 0.3046 0.7411 0.7411
2020-21 Estevan Bruins SJHL 2 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Estevan Bruins SJHL 57 28 20 48 0.842 0.2565 0.2673 0.6241 0.6503
2022-23 Brooks Bandits AJHL 53 25 26 51 0.962 0.3193 0.3123 0.8919 0.8722
2023-24 Brooks Bandits AJHL 35 18 14 32 0.914 0.3034 0.2824 0.8474 0.7888
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast SO 38 13 16 29 0.763
2024-25 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast — 35 6 9 15 0.429
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.25
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.43
2024-25 · Merrimack
+70.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
62%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#12489
Forward overall
#579
Forward born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Carlos Amestoy
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Maine
0.39 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jarrett Cammarata
Bethel · 2018-19
0.680 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Dallas Marvin
Bethel · 2014-15
0.640 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Matthew Headland
Canton · 2018-19
0.682 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.