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J.P. Hurlbert Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2008-04-11 Country: USA
2026 · Round 1, Pick #23  ·  Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
Michigan
Verbal BigTen D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 U.S. National U17 Team NTDP-U18 56 19 18 37 0.661 0.4911 0.5030 2.4653 2.5248
2025-26 Kamloops Blazers WHL 68 42 55 97 1.427 0.6940 0.7258 3.5002 3.6606
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

8%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
88%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#3916
Forward overall
#8
Forward born in 2008

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ Michigan (0.89 D1 FR PPG)
0.70 Elite
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.02 PPG
→ Denver (0.76 D1 FR PPG)
0.63 Strong
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.04 PPG
→ Miami (0.69 D1 FR PPG)
0.64 Strong
NCAAe PPG
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.88 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.43 D1 FR PPG)
0.63 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.61 Developing
NCAAe PPG

Michigan Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

USHL 2012-13
0.89
actual FR PPG at Michigan
NTDP-U18 2016-17
0.62
actual FR PPG at Michigan
NTDP-U18 2020-21
0.46
actual FR PPG at Michigan
USHL 2021-22
1.00
actual FR PPG at Michigan

D2/3 Comparables

St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.