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Liam Lucas Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-03-20 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Vermont Academy NE-Prep 26 14 23 37 1.423 0.2745 0.2745 0.6512 0.6512
2022-23 Ottawa Jr. Senators CCHL 26 6 11 17 0.654 0.1418 0.1374 0.5061 0.4903
2023-24 Ottawa Jr. Senators CCHL 34 8 14 22 0.647 0.1404 0.1285 0.5009 0.4586
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Concordia D3 MIAC — 11 0 0 0 0.000
2024-25 Concordia D3 MIAC — 24 1 1 2 0.083
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.11
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.08
2024-25 · Concordia
-26.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

20%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
62%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#30432
Forward overall
#1786
Forward born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Auggie Moore
Saint John's · 2018-19
1.080 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Riley Ott
Milwaukee School of Engineering · 2021-22
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Cameron Croteau
Lebanon Valley · 2021-22
0.400 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.