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Caden Dabrowski Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2008-05-27 Country: USA
2026 NHL Draft Eligible
Merrimack
HockeyEast D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2025-26 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 50 15 22 37 0.740 0.4712 0.4970 2.2176 2.3389
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

90%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#3349
Forward overall
#41
Forward born in 2008
#501
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Matthew Weis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.71 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Sean Malone
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.66 PPG
→ Harvard (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.51 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Gabe Guertler
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.85 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.57 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Hudson Fasching
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.75 D1 FR PPG)
0.42 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Scott Conway
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Penn State (0.76 D1 FR PPG)
0.38 Strong
NCAAe PPG

Merrimack Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Nick Pierre
USHS-MN 2019-20
0.47
actual FR PPG at Merrimack
Alex Jefferies
NE-Prep 2018-19
0.83
actual FR PPG at Merrimack
Mathieu Foget
CCHL 2014-15
0.35
actual FR PPG at Merrimack
Brett Seney
OJHL 2013-14
0.76
actual FR PPG at Merrimack

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Reifler
Elmira · 2016-17
1.067 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Joseph Fiorino
Southern New Hampshire · 2016-17
0.593 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Nick Ford
Elmira · 2014-15
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.