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Bryce Mattern Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2007-12-07 Country: USA
Arizona State
NCHC D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 Watertown Shamrocks NAHL 4 0 0 0 0.000
2025-26 Fargo Force USHL 51 8 8 16 0.314 0.1851 0.1909 0.9422 0.9715
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

57%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
12%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#29527
Forward overall
#1027
Forward born in 2007

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Boston College (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Army (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ Harvard (0.24 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.19 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.34 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Average
NCAAe PPG

Arizona State Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

USHS-MN 2019-20
0.23
actual FR PPG at Arizona State
USHL 2020-21
0.38
actual FR PPG at Arizona State
AJHL 2013-14
0.62
actual FR PPG at Arizona State
NTDP-U18 2024-25
0.29
actual FR PPG at Arizona State

D2/3 Comparables

Utica · 2014-15
0.778 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Oswego · 2001-02
0.926 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Concordia · 2014-15
0.960 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.