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Dakota Ulmer Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1996-02-27 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2014-15 Lansing Wolves NA3HL 44 27 33 60 1.364 0.1643 0.1671 0.4308 0.4381
2015-16 Lansing Wolves NA3HL 39 22 35 57 1.462 0.1761 0.1705 0.4617 0.4470
2016-17 Lansing Wolves NA3HL 39 25 19 44 1.128 0.1359 0.1247 0.3564 0.3271
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2019-20 Bryn Athyn D3 — JR 23 6 9 15 0.652
2018-19 Bryn Athyn D3 — SO 23 4 10 14 0.609
2017-18 Bryn Athyn D3 — FR 13 1 6 7 0.538
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.12
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.54
2017-18 · Bryn Athyn
+340.0% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#26771
Forward overall
#1142
Forward born in 1996
#372
in NA3HL

D1 Comparables

Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ricky DeRosa
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.71 PPG
→ Penn State (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Average
NCAAe PPG
Aidan Cavallini
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.22 No data
NCAAe PPG
Bob Kinne
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Taeron Lewis
Norwich · 2015-16
0.269 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Brett Williams
Westfield State · 2021-22
0.296 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Joe Gori
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2003-04
0.357 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.