IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Connor Evans Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1997-08-17 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2014-15 Lindsay Muskies OJHL 1 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2015-16 Stouffville Spirit OJHL 44 2 13 15 0.341 0.0952 0.0971 0.2353 0.2400
2016-17 Stouffville Spirit OJHL 42 6 15 21 0.500 0.1397 0.1362 0.3451 0.3365
2017-18 Stouffville Spirit OJHL 27 7 8 15 0.556 0.1552 0.1439 0.3834 0.3554
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2020-21 Northland D3 — JR 9 0 1 1 0.111
2019-20 Northland D3 — SO 27 0 3 3 0.111
2018-19 Northland D3 — FR 26 0 8 8 0.308
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.13
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.31
2018-19 · Northland
+131.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

15%
NCAA D1
28%
NCAA D2/D3
57%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#8210
Defenseman overall
#1345
Defenseman born in 1997
#2709
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Jake Flynn
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ UConn (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
William Eiserman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.15 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Casey Nelson
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Renato Engler
Lawrence · 2011-12
0.538 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Alex Bourhas
Colby · 2018-19
0.417 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Mark Sullivan
SUNY Potsdam · 2007-08
0.267 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.