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Michael Karas Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1997-07-30 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 Vermont Lumberjacks EHL 3 0 1 1 0.333 0.0770 0.0783 0.1631 0.1659
2017-18 Pembroke Lumber Kings CCHL 2 0 1 1 0.500 0.1085 0.1007 0.3869 0.3592
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Post D2 NE10 25 0 3 3 0.120
2021-22 Post D2 NE10 25 4 2 6 0.240
2019-20 Post D1 NE10 SO 15 2 8 10 0.667
2019-20 Post D2 NE10 15 2 8 10 0.667
2018-19 Post D1 NE10 FR 19 1 5 6 0.316
2018-19 Post D2 NE10 19 1 5 6 0.316
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.09
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.32
2018-19 · Post
+264.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

35%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
55%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#6008
Defenseman overall
#1179
Defenseman born in 1997

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.15 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.11 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Wisconsin-Eau Claire · 2015-16
0.440 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Becker · 2009-10
0.467 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Colby · 2018-19
0.417 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.