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Justin Vernace Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-02-17 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 Toronto Patriots OJHL 3 0 0 0 0.000
2016-17 Newmarket Hurricanes OJHL 40 4 2 6 0.150 0.0419 0.0419 0.1035 0.1035
2017-18 Newmarket Hurricanes OJHL 48 5 8 13 0.271 0.0757 0.0721 0.1869 0.1780
2018-19 Caledon Admirals OJHL 54 15 23 38 0.704 0.1966 0.1776 0.4856 0.4386
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 SUNY Potsdam D3 SUNYAC SR 22 4 3 7 0.318
2021-22 SUNY Potsdam D3 SUNYAC JR 18 1 1 2 0.111
2019-20 SUNY Potsdam D3 FR 5 0 0 0 0.000

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

5%
NCAA D1
28%
NCAA D2/D3
68%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#32905
Forward overall
#1417
Forward born in 1998
#3047
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.71 PPG
→ Penn State (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Average
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.22 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Alaska Anchorage (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Fredonia · 2023-24
0.750 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Augsburg · 2013-14
0.577 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Concordia · 2015-16
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.