IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Brad Guden Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2005-08-29 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Tabor NE-Prep 29 4 5 9 0.310 0.0599 0.0599 0.1420 0.1420
2023-24 Tabor NE-Prep 24 5 6 11 0.458 0.0884 0.0884 0.2097 0.2097
2024-25 Tilton NE-Prep 21 4 2 6 0.286 0.0551 0.0551 0.1307 0.1307
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Johnson & Wales D3 CNE — 20 1 3 4 0.200
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.06
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.20
2025-26 · Johnson & Wales
+209.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

8%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Club / ACHA
55%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#17354
Defenseman overall
#3166
Defenseman born in 2005
#1024
in NE-Prep

D1 Comparables

Kyle Mackey
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.16 PPG
→ Air Force (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Zach Yoder
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.10 PPG
→ Air Force (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.06 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Lukas Buchta
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.05 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.03 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Jake Bischoff
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.17 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Ruslan Pedan
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.34 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Daniel Nachbaur
UMass Boston · 2013-14
0.350 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Cory Harder
St. Norbert · 2004-05
0.438 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Greg Diamond
SUNY Geneseo · 2022-23
0.518 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.