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Tate Collins Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2007-11-04 Country: Canada
Union
ECAC D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 Aurora Tigers OJHL 4 1 0 1 0.250 0.0613 0.0699 0.1721 0.1962
2024-25 Toronto Patriots OJHL 55 11 27 38 0.691 0.1693 0.1843 0.4755 0.5176
2025-26 Toronto Patriots OJHL 51 24 52 76 1.490 0.3652 0.3777 1.0257 1.0608
2026-27 Toronto Patriots OJHL 7 8 11 19 2.714 0.6653 0.6602 1.8683 1.8541
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

15%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
85%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#12462
Forward overall
#329
Forward born in 2007

D1 Comparables

Frank DiChiara
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.94 PPG
→ Yale (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Average
NCAAe PPG
Zach Stepan
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.39 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.60 D1 FR PPG)
0.81 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Nathan Walker
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Marian (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.54 Developing
NCAAe PPG
J.T. Stenglein
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.04 PPG
→ Michigan (0.07 D1 FR PPG)
0.59 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Peter Quenneville
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.11 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.80 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Elite
NCAAe PPG

Union Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Elliot Gulley
NAHL 2024-25
0.00
actual FR PPG at Union
Brett Supinski
BCHL 2014-15
0.68
actual FR PPG at Union
Sebastian Vidmar
SHL-J20 2012-13
0.37
actual FR PPG at Union
Alex Laurenza
NAHL 2024-25
0.59
actual FR PPG at Union

D2/3 Comparables

Gus Katsuras
Hamilton · 2000-01
1.400 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Woodward
SUNY Oswego · 2000-01
1.226 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Roman Cherniak
Lawrence · 2023-24
0.842 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.