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Tate Collins Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2007-11-04 Country: Canada
Union
ECAC D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 Aurora Tigers OJHL 4 1 0 1 0.250 0.0613 0.0699 0.1721 0.1962
2024-25 Toronto Patriots OJHL 55 11 27 38 0.691 0.1693 0.1843 0.4757 0.5178
2025-26 Toronto Patriots OJHL 51 24 52 76 1.490 0.3652 0.3777 1.0260 1.0611
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

55%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
12%
Age-Out / Club
32%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#12242
Forward overall
#305
Forward born in 2007
#281
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

C.J. Smith
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.98 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.90 D1 FR PPG)
0.38 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Tony Calderone
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.69 PPG
→ Michigan (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jason Salvaggio
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Alex Roos
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.49 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jake Jackson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Michigan Tech (0.09 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Developing
NCAAe PPG

Union Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Gleb Murtazin
USHL 2018-19
0.00
actual FR PPG at Union
Gabriel Seger
SHL-J20 2017-18
0.59
actual FR PPG at Union
Ben Muthersbaugh
NE-Prep 2020-21
0.78
actual FR PPG at Union
Parker Foo
AJHL 2016-17
0.18
actual FR PPG at Union

D2/3 Comparables

Simon Boyko
Aurora · 2016-17
1.037 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2000-01
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Justin Ross
Lake Forest · 2018-19
0.720 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.