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Matthew Soto Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-08-31 Country: Canada
Bowling Green
CCHA D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Kingston Frontenacs OHL 53 6 19 25 0.472 0.2729 0.3023 1.2120 1.3428
2022-23 Kingston Frontenacs OHL 54 15 27 42 0.778 0.4500 0.4791 1.9986 2.1278
2023-24 Kingston Frontenacs OHL 66 25 31 56 0.849 0.4909 0.4991 2.1802 2.2167
2024-25 Kingston Frontenacs OHL 58 18 16 34 0.586 0.3391 0.3273 1.5062 1.4537
2025-26 Peterborough Petes OHL 68 19 32 51 0.750 0.4339 0.3970 1.9271 1.7630
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

50%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
30%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#8438
Forward overall
#329
Forward born in 2005
#423
in OHL

D1 Comparables

A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jared VanWormer
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.27 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG

Bowling Green Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Connor Levis
WHL 2024-25
0.16
actual FR PPG at Bowling Green
Joe McKeown
OJHL 2014-15
0.30
actual FR PPG at Bowling Green
Brandon Santa Juana
BCHL 2022-23
0.31
actual FR PPG at Bowling Green
Jakob Reichert
BCHL 2013-14
0.17
actual FR PPG at Bowling Green

D2/3 Comparables

Roman Ammirato
Utica · 2012-13
1.296 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Luke Moodie
SUNY Oswego · 2008-09
0.926 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
T.J. Sneath
Lebanon Valley · 2014-15
0.773 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.