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Shea Busch Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2007-06-12 Country: Canada
2025 · Round 4, Pick #128  ·  Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
Penn State
BigTen D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 — BCHL 53 8 12 20 0.377 0.1454 0.1646 0.5492 0.6218
2024-25 Everett Silvertips WHL 39 11 8 19 0.487 0.2370 0.2490 1.1954 1.2558
2025-26 Everett Silvertips WHL 12 13 5 18 1.500 0.7298 0.7329 3.6806 3.6962
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

5%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
8%
Age-Out / Club
85%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#6516
Forward overall
#113
Forward born in 2007

D1 Comparables

Nick Schilkey
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.70 D1 FR PPG)
0.71 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Alex Kile
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.07 PPG
→ Michigan (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.64 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Vinnie Hinostroza
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.30 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.94 D1 FR PPG)
0.76 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Austin Cangelosi
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ Boston College (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.68 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Dennis Kravchenko
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.11 PPG
→ UMass (0.92 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Elite
NCAAe PPG

Penn State Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Scott Conway
USHL 2013-14
0.76
actual FR PPG at Penn State
Denis Smirnov
USHL 2015-16
1.21
actual FR PPG at Penn State
Charlie Cerrato
USHL 2023-24
1.11
actual FR PPG at Penn State
Luke Misa
OHL 2023-24
0.51
actual FR PPG at Penn State

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.