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Ryan Murphy Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-06-11 Country: USA
Lake Forest
NCHA D3

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 NAHL 11 0 1 1 0.091 0.0334 0.0349 0.0959 0.1002
2016-17 Trail Smoke Eaters BCHL 36 3 6 9 0.250 0.0963 0.0943 0.3638 0.3564
2017-18 Trail Smoke Eaters BCHL 47 8 11 19 0.404 0.1558 0.1451 0.5884 0.5481
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2019-20 Fitchburg State D3 MASCAC 26 12 14 26 1.000
2018-19 Fitchburg State D3 MASCAC 26 5 11 16 0.615
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.11
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.62
2018-19 · Fitchburg State
+476.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

38%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
48%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#45519
Forward overall
#2258
Forward born in 1997

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG

Lake Forest Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

0.93
actual FR PPG at Lake Forest
0.50
actual FR PPG at Lake Forest
0.64
actual FR PPG at Lake Forest
0.00
actual FR PPG at Lake Forest

D2/3 Comparables

Utica · 2012-13
0.882 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
UMass Boston · 2009-10
0.538 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Neumann · 2015-16
0.905 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.