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Johnny Small Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-01-17 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Langley Rivermen BCHL 46 3 5 8 0.174 0.0670 0.0675 0.2534 0.2554
2023-24 Minot Minotauros NAHL 59 9 23 32 0.542 0.1927 0.1892 0.5695 0.5590
2024-25 Minot Minotauros NAHL 57 22 30 52 0.912 0.3240 0.3010 0.9578 0.8899
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Amherst D3 NESCAC — 25 4 8 12 0.480
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.22
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.48
2025-26 · Amherst
+118.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

38%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
55%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#21448
Forward overall
#1166
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Dylan Walchuk
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.86 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Average
NCAAe PPG
David Goodwin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Penn State (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Carlos Amestoy
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Maine
0.39 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ross Oldcorn
Manhattanville · 2001-02
0.542 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Harrison Niemann
Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2007-08
0.750 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Dennis Sicard
Buffalo State · 2005-06
0.643 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.