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Ethan Armstrong Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2007-01-23 Country: Canada
Minnesota State
CCHA D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 Barrie Colts OHL 14 1 2 3 0.214 0.1240 0.1283 0.5611 0.5807
2025-26 Barrie Colts OHL 31 1 5 6 0.194 0.1119 0.1102 0.5067 0.4989
2026-27 Vancouver Giants WHL 5 1 0 1 0.200 0.0973 0.0973 0.4885 0.4885
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

18%
NCAA D1
12%
NCAA D2/D3
35%
Age-Out / Club
35%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#16901
Defenseman overall
#2171
Defenseman born in 2007

D1 Comparables

Kyle McKenzie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.14 PPG
→ Providence (0.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Fuller
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.11 PPG
→ Southern Maine (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.06 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Joseph Fiala
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.22 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Parker
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.20 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.11 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Taki Pantziris
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ Brown
0.15 No data
NCAAe PPG

Minnesota State Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Liam Hupka
USHS-MN 2021-22
0.03
actual FR PPG at Minnesota State
Jaden Schmeisser
BCHL 2012-13
0.00
actual FR PPG at Minnesota State
Bryce Strand
NAHL 2023-24
0.13
actual FR PPG at Minnesota State
Jack McNeely
USHL 2016-17
0.26
actual FR PPG at Minnesota State

D2/3 Comparables

Ian Williams
Norwich · 2014-15
0.640 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Ross Sloan
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2013-14
0.529 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Ludvig Mellgren
Gustavus Adolphus · 2023-24
0.833 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.