IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Ethan Armstrong Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2007-01-23 Country: Canada
Minnesota State
CCHA D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 Barrie Colts OHL 14 1 2 3 0.214 0.1240 0.1283 0.5506 0.5699
2025-26 Barrie Colts OHL 31 1 5 6 0.194 0.1119 0.1102 0.4972 0.4896
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

20%
NCAA D1
18%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
40%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#16684
Defenseman overall
#2114
Defenseman born in 2007
#1454
in OHL

D1 Comparables

Sam Piazza
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.16 PPG
→ Michigan (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Niklas Folin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.16 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Eric Sweetman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Johnny Wingels
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ Miami
0.17 No data
NCAAe PPG
Cliff Watson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ Michigan Tech (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

Minnesota State Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Liam Hupka
USHS-MN 2021-22
0.03
actual FR PPG at Minnesota State
Jack McNeely
USHL 2015-16
0.26
actual FR PPG at Minnesota State
Bryce Strand
NAHL 2022-23
0.13
actual FR PPG at Minnesota State
Daniel Brickley
CCHL 2013-14
0.31
actual FR PPG at Minnesota State

D2/3 Comparables

Niko Happo
Manhattanville · 2015-16
0.518 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Steven Wesley
Franklin Pierce · 2017-18
0.333 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Eric Bolden
Elmira · 2014-15
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.